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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Feirense
S U U S S
2–3
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feirense Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feirense 6. · Sp Lisbon 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Porto 4 4 0 0 +9 12
3 Benfica 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Maritimo 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Feirense 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Estoril 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Tondela 4 1 1 2 +1 4
10 Belenenses 4 1 1 2 -5 4
11 Guimaraes 4 1 1 2 -7 4
12 Vitoria Setubal 4 0 3 1 -1 3
13 Boavista 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 Portimonense 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Moreirense 4 0 2 2 -6 2
17 Chaves 4 0 1 3 -4 1
18 Aves 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feirense Sp Lisbon
Elvis Babanco 🟨
12′
23′
🔁 A. Ruiz
↦ C. Piccini
Half-time 0–1
62′
S. Coates 0–1
64′
Bruno Fernandes 0–2
Gelson Martins
1–2 João Silva
Tiago Silva
69′
Edson Farias 🟨
70′
Luís Machado 🔁
↦ Babanco
75′
2–2 O. Etebo
Paraiba
80′
Hugo Seco 🔁
↦ Paraiba
84′
85′
🔁 S. Doumbia
↦ M. Acuña
85′
🔁 Iuri Medeiros
↦ A. Ruiz
89′
🟨 Iuri Medeiros
Luís Rocha 🟨
90′
Luís Rocha 🔁
↦ O. Etebo
95′
98′
B. Dost 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Feirense

4-2-3-1
22 Caio Secco G
14 Bruno Nascimento D
3 A. Kakuba D
32 Flavio D
28 J. Alcenat D
17 Cris M
5 Babanco M
8 Tiago Silva M
10 O. Etebo M
19 João Silva F
12 Paraiba M
Bench (7)
7 Luís Machado
77 Hugo Seco
13 Luís Rocha
30 Luís Aurélio
9 Luis Henrique
15 K. Alphonse
37 M. Miskiewicz

Coach: Nuno Santos

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Patrício G
22 J. Mathieu D
4 S. Coates D
92 C. Piccini D
3 J. Silva D
16 R. Battaglia M
14 William Carvalho M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
28 B. Dost F
9 M. Acuña M
77 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
10 A. Ruiz
88 S. Doumbia
45 Iuri Medeiros
11 Bruno César
21 Mattheus
6 André Pinto
18 R. Salin

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.