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Ligue 1

Referee: Sébastien Desiage

Metz

T T T T T

1–5

Full-time

Paris SG

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

0,3

3,3

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

0,3

3,5

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

27% Possession 73%

8 Shots 23

1 Shots on target 12

2 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 20. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Monaco	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Bordeaux	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	St Etienne	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Marseille	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Caen	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Guingamp	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Toulouse	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Lille	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Dijon	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Nice	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Amiens	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Metz	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Lille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Caen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Dijon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Angers	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Caen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Bordeaux	3	0	3	0	+0	3
7	Troyes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Dijon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Lille	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Strasbourg	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Montpellier	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Nice	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.