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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao

Estoril

U S S U T

0–1

Full-time

Benfica

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 54%

31%

77%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

23%

62%

Both score Ø 43%

31%

54%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

8 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 10

6 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Estoril 13. · Benfica 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Porto	14	9	4	1	+20	31
3	Sp Lisbon	13	8	3	2	+12	27
4	Sp Braga	13	8	2	3	+12	26
5	Guimaraes	13	7	3	3	+7	24
6	Rio Ave	13	6	2	5	+1	20
7	Chaves	13	4	7	2	+2	19
8	Belenenses	14	4	5	5	-4	17
9	Maritimo	14	5	2	7	-4	17
10	Arouca	14	5	2	7	-5	17
11	Vitoria Setubal	13	4	4	5	-1	16
12	Pacos Ferreira	14	4	4	6	-5	16
13	Estoril	13	4	3	6	-5	15
14	Boavista	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Nacional	13	3	2	8	-8	11
16	Moreirense	14	3	2	9	-11	11
17	Feirense	13	3	2	8	-18	11
18	Tondela	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+13	19
3	Porto	7	6	1	0	+11	19
4	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+13	16
5	Pacos Ferreira	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Chaves	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Vitoria Setubal	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Maritimo	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Arouca	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Guimaraes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Belenenses	6	2	3	1	+0	9
12	Rio Ave	7	3	0	4	-2	9
13	Boavista	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Estoril	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Tondela	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Nacional	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Moreirense	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Feirense	7	1	1	5	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Guimaraes	7	5	0	2	+5	15
3	Porto	7	3	3	1	+9	12
4	Rio Ave	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Chaves	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Sp Lisbon	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Estoril	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-4	8
9	Sp Braga	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Arouca	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	Maritimo	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Feirense	6	2	1	3	-6	7
13	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Moreirense	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Nacional	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Tondela	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.