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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Groningen
T U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Feyenoord
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 47%
32%
62%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
57%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
21 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 16. · Feyenoord 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 18 3 1 +58 57
2 Ajax 22 17 2 3 +58 53
3 Feyenoord 21 13 3 5 +20 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 22 12 4 6 +20 40
5 Heracles 21 10 2 9 +0 32
6 VVV Venlo 22 8 5 9 -10 29
7 Vitesse 19 7 6 6 +2 27
8 Den Haag 22 7 6 9 -11 27
9 Utrecht 19 7 5 7 +1 26
10 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -12 26
11 Willem II 22 7 4 11 -8 25
12 Zwolle 22 7 4 11 -9 25
13 Heerenveen 22 5 9 8 -5 24
14 FC Emmen 21 6 6 9 -20 24
15 Excelsior 21 6 4 11 -23 22
16 Groningen 19 6 3 10 -3 21
17 De Graafschap 21 5 3 13 -28 18
18 NAC Breda 22 4 4 14 -30 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Feyenoord
0–1 S. van Beek
own goal
26′
Half-time 0–1
54′
🔁 S. Larsson
↦ J. Toornstra
61′
🟨 Tonny Vilhena
I. Bel Hassani 🔁
↦ K. Sierhuis
72′
72′
🔁 Y. Ayoub
↦ C. Verdonk
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
81′
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ M. Mahi
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
42 D. Zeefuik D
29 T. Handwerker D
24 J. Chabot D
15 T. Bruns M
7 R. Doan M
6 L. Reis M
10 M. Mahi F
9 K. Sierhuis F
Bench (11)
8 I. Bel Hassani
19 P. Gladon
14 M. El Hankouri
11 J. Pohl
12 L. Kramer
16 K. Begois
17 K. Itakura
20 A. Absalem
22 M. Breij
31 J. Hoekstra
36 T. van de Looi

Coach: D. Buijs

Feyenoord

3-4-2-1
1 K. Vermeer G
24 R. Martina D
3 S. van Beek D
29 C. Verdonk D
4 J. St. Juste D
28 J. Toornstra M
8 J. Clasie M
10 T. Vilhena M
32 R. van Persie F
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
Bench (11)
11 S. Larsson
18 Y. Ayoub
2 B. Nieuwkoop
6 J. van der Heijden
13 J. Delle
17 L. Sinisterra
23 O. Kökçü
26 J. Wehrmann
30 R. ten Hove
34 D. Vente
38 L. Geertruida

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.