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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Bordeaux

S S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Toulouse

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 23/24 matches

Win Ø 28%

30%

25%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

35%

50%

Both score Ø 49%

39%

58%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

8 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bordeaux 13. · Toulouse 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	19	2	1	+55	59
2	Lille	24	15	4	5	+20	49
3	Lyon	25	13	7	5	+12	46
4	Marseille	25	12	4	9	+6	40
5	St Etienne	24	11	7	6	+5	40
6	Montpellier	23	9	10	4	+12	37
7	Nice	25	10	7	8	-7	37
8	Rennes	24	10	6	8	+3	36
9	Nimes	25	10	6	9	+2	36
10	Strasbourg	24	9	8	7	+11	35
11	Reims	24	8	11	5	-1	35
12	Angers	25	8	9	8	+1	33
13	Bordeaux	23	7	7	9	-2	28
14	Nantes	25	7	6	12	-4	27
15	Toulouse	24	6	9	9	-11	27
16	Monaco	25	5	7	13	-17	22
17	Amiens	25	6	3	16	-21	21
18	Dijon	24	5	5	14	-18	20
19	Caen	24	3	9	12	-13	18
20	Guingamp	24	3	5	16	-33	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	12	0	0	+38	36
2	St Etienne	12	9	2	1	+14	29
3	Lille	12	8	3	1	+16	27
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+11	27
5	Marseille	12	7	3	2	+13	24
6	Rennes	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	Montpellier	12	5	5	2	+9	20
8	Reims	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Nice	12	6	2	4	-1	20
10	Strasbourg	12	5	4	3	+6	19
11	Nimes	13	5	4	4	+5	19
12	Bordeaux	11	5	4	2	+4	19
13	Angers	13	5	4	4	+3	19
14	Nantes	12	4	4	4	+6	16
15	Amiens	12	4	1	7	-5	13
16	Toulouse	12	2	6	4	-4	12
17	Dijon	11	3	2	6	-8	11
18	Caen	12	2	4	6	-5	10
19	Monaco	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Guingamp	12	1	3	8	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Lille	12	7	1	4	+4	22
3	Lyon	12	5	4	3	+1	19
4	Montpellier	11	4	5	2	+3	17
5	Nimes	12	5	2	5	-3	17
6	Nice	13	4	5	4	-6	17
7	Strasbourg	12	4	4	4	+5	16
8	Marseille	13	5	1	7	-7	16
9	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
10	Reims	12	3	6	3	-4	15
11	Toulouse	12	4	3	5	-7	15
12	Angers	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Monaco	12	3	3	6	-5	12
14	St Etienne	12	2	5	5	-9	11
15	Nantes	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Bordeaux	12	2	3	7	-6	9
17	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-10	9
18	Caen	12	1	5	6	-8	8
19	Amiens	13	2	2	9	-16	8
20	Guingamp	12	2	2	8	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.