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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

Groningen

T S S U S

1–4

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

5,0

3,3

Scored

3,2

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 32/30 matches

Win Ø 33%

28%

37%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 72%

66%

77%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

20 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

4 Free kicks against 3

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 10. · AZ Alkmaar 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	34	26	4	4	+61	82
2	Ajax	34	25	6	3	+56	81
3	PSV Eindhoven	34	22	10	2	+45	76
4	Utrecht	31	17	7	7	+17	58
5	Vitesse	34	15	6	13	+11	51
6	AZ Alkmaar	30	11	12	7	+6	45
7	Twente	34	12	9	13	-2	45
8	Heracles	34	12	7	15	-2	43
9	Heerenveen	33	12	6	15	+0	42
10	Groningen	32	9	12	11	+2	39
11	Den Haag	34	11	5	18	-22	38
12	Excelsior	34	9	10	15	-17	37
13	Willem II	34	9	9	16	-15	36
14	Zwolle	34	9	8	17	-28	35
15	Sparta Rotterdam	34	9	7	18	-19	34
16	Nijmegen	34	9	7	18	-27	34
17	Roda	34	7	12	15	-25	33
18	Go Ahead Eagles	34	6	5	23	-41	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	15	2	0	+45	47
2	Ajax	17	14	2	1	+36	44
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	3	1	+26	42
4	Utrecht	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Vitesse	17	9	2	6	+10	29
6	Heerenveen	17	8	4	5	+8	28
7	Twente	17	8	4	5	+6	28
8	Heracles	17	8	3	6	+11	27
9	Den Haag	17	7	3	7	+1	24
10	AZ Alkmaar	15	5	8	2	+7	23
11	Excelsior	17	6	5	6	+2	23
12	Roda	17	6	5	6	-1	23
13	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	4	7	+0	22
14	Nijmegen	17	6	4	7	-5	22
15	Groningen	16	4	8	4	-1	20
16	Willem II	17	5	5	7	-5	20
17	Zwolle	17	5	5	7	-9	20
18	Go Ahead Eagles	17	4	1	12	-15	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	11	4	2	+20	37
2	Feyenoord	17	11	2	4	+16	35
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	9	7	1	+19	34
4	Utrecht	16	8	4	4	+6	28
5	Vitesse	17	6	4	7	+1	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	4	5	-1	22
7	Groningen	16	5	4	7	+3	19
8	Twente	17	4	5	8	-8	17
9	Willem II	17	4	4	9	-10	16
10	Heracles	17	4	4	9	-13	16
11	Zwolle	17	4	3	10	-19	15
12	Heerenveen	16	4	2	10	-8	14
13	Excelsior	17	3	5	9	-19	14
14	Den Haag	17	4	2	11	-23	14
15	Sparta Rotterdam	17	3	3	11	-19	12
16	Nijmegen	17	3	3	11	-22	12
17	Roda	17	1	7	9	-24	10
18	Go Ahead Eagles	17	2	4	11	-26	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.