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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Eibar
T T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
53%
69%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 8. · Sp Gijon 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 26 6 4 +74 84
2 Real Madrid 35 26 6 3 +57 84
3 Ath Madrid 36 22 8 6 +41 74
4 Sevilla 36 20 9 7 +18 69
5 Villarreal 36 18 9 9 +21 63
6 Ath Bilbao 36 19 5 12 +12 62
7 Sociedad 36 19 5 12 +6 62
8 Eibar 36 15 9 12 +8 54
9 Alaves 37 14 12 11 -2 54
10 Espanol 37 14 11 12 -2 53
11 Valencia 37 13 7 17 -7 46
12 Malaga 36 12 9 15 -4 45
13 Celta 36 13 5 18 -13 44
14 Las Palmas 36 10 9 17 -15 39
15 Betis 36 10 7 19 -23 37
16 Leganes 36 8 9 19 -19 33
17 La Coruna 36 7 11 18 -21 32
18 Sp Gijon 36 6 9 21 -31 27
19 Osasuna 37 4 10 23 -49 22
20 Granada 37 4 8 25 -51 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sp Gijon
32′
Burgui 0–1
Moi Gómez
Half-time 0–1
Kike 🔁
↦ Adrián
58′
Florian Lejeune 🟨
59′
Sergi Enrich 🟨
60′
Christian Rivera 🔁
↦ G. Escalante
70′
74′
🔁 Xavi Torres
↦ Moi Gómez
Bebé 🔁
↦ T. Inui
77′
80′
🟨 Mikel Vesga
83′
🔁 F. Amorebieta
↦ Burgui
88′
🔁 Isma López
↦ Carlos Carmona
89′
🟨 Duje Čop
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Asier Riesgo G
20 F. Lejeune D
3 Alejandro Gálvez D
23 Juncà D
7 Ander Capa D
8 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
24 Adrián M
14 Dani García M
5 G. Escalante M
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
17 Kike
6 Christian Rivera
25 Bebé
4 Ramis
1 Yoel
11 Rubén Peña
15 M. Dos Santos

Coach: Mendilibar

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
15 Canella D
3 J. Babin D
2 Douglas Pereira D
4 Jorge Meré D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
23 Moi Gómez M
22 Mikel Vesga M
24 D. Čop F
19 Carlos Carmona M
14 Burgui M
Bench (7)
21 Xavi Torres
5 F. Amorebieta
18 Isma López
7 Víctor Rodríguez
8 L. Traoré
9 Carlos Castro
13 Diego Mariño

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.