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Championship
Referee: Lee Mason
Leeds
U S S U U
2–0
Full-time
Brighton
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Championship · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 58%
54%
62%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
38%
51%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 4. · Brighton 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 38 24 6 8 +38 78
2 Brighton 37 23 8 6 +32 77
3 Huddersfield 34 21 5 8 +6 68
4 Leeds 37 20 6 11 +14 66
5 Reading 35 19 7 9 +7 64
6 Fulham 36 15 13 8 +15 58
7 Norwich 38 16 9 13 +9 57
8 Preston 38 15 12 11 +6 57
9 Sheffield Weds 36 16 8 12 +6 56
10 Derby 38 14 11 13 +3 53
11 Barnsley 38 14 9 15 +0 51
12 Aston Villa 38 13 12 13 +0 51
13 Cardiff 38 14 9 15 -1 51
14 Brentford 38 14 8 16 +3 50
15 QPR 38 14 8 16 -5 50
16 Wolves 37 12 9 16 -2 45
17 Ipswich 38 10 15 13 -9 45
18 Birmingham 38 11 12 15 -16 45
19 Bristol City 38 11 8 19 -3 41
20 Nott'm Forest 38 11 8 19 -11 41
21 Burton Albion 38 10 11 17 -14 41
22 Blackburn 38 9 13 16 -11 40
23 Wigan 38 8 10 20 -13 34
24 Rotherham 38 4 5 29 -54 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Brighton
37′
🟨 Liam Rosenior
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Wood
C. Taylor
63′
67′
🟨 Glenn Murray
70′
🔁 S. March
↦ J. Skalák
74′
🔁 C. Akpom
↦ S. Baldock
S. Doukara 🔁
↦ Alfonso Pedraza
75′
S. Dallas 🔁
↦ H. Sacko
81′
83′
🔁 O. Norwood
↦ B. Kayal
2–0 C. Wood
85′
E. O'Kane 🔁
↦ Pablo Hernández
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 R. Green G
28 G. Berardi D
6 L. Cooper D
5 K. Bartley D
21 C. Taylor D
19 Pablo Hernández M
26 L. Bridcutt M
29 Alfonso Pedraza M
25 Ronaldo Vieira M
9 C. Wood F
24 H. Sacko M
Bench (7)
11 S. Doukara
15 S. Dallas
14 E. O'Kane
7 K. Roofe
12 M. Silvestri
18 P. Jansson
27 M. Barrow

Coach: G. Monk

Brighton

4-4-2
13 D. Stockdale
4 U. Hünemeier D
23 L. Rosenior D
5 L. Dunk D
27 F. Tomori D
6 D. Stephens M
7 B. Kayal M
8 J. Skalák M
11 A. Knockaert M
17 G. Murray F
9 S. Baldock F
Bench (7)
20 S. March
28 C. Akpom
21 O. Norwood
1 N. Mäenpää
10 T. Hemed
14 S. Sidwell
43 B. White

Coach: C. Hughton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lee Mason · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.