Ekstraklasa
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cracovia
Legnica
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rakow
|
30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | +41 | 71 |
| 2 |
Legia
|
30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | +16 | 60 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +6 | 51 |
| 4 |
Lech Poznan
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +12 | 49 |
| 5 |
Warta Poznan
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 44 |
| 6 |
Piast Gliwice
|
30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 43 |
| 7 |
Cracovia
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +7 | 41 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | +5 | 39 |
| 9 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 |
Stal Mielec
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Widzew Lodz
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 |
Radomiak Radom
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -5 | 38 |
| 13 |
Wisla Plock
|
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 14 |
Korona Kielce
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 |
Zaglebie
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -14 | 35 |
| 16 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -15 | 31 |
| 17 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -24 | 26 |
| 18 |
Legnica
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -18 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia
Cracovia
Radomiak Radom
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia
Cracovia
Widzew Lodz
Rakow
Cracovia
M Kochanek · 30 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.