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Eredivisie
Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf
Zwolle
T S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 29/31 matches
Win Ø 44%
45%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
66%
42%
Both score Ø 52%
62%
42%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 8. · Nijmegen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 32 24 6 2 +50 78
2 Ajax 31 23 6 2 +54 75
3 Feyenoord 31 17 5 9 +20 56
4 AZ Alkmaar 31 15 5 11 +11 50
5 Nijmegen 31 13 7 11 -1 46
6 Vitesse 32 12 9 11 +19 45
7 Heracles 28 13 6 9 +0 45
8 Zwolle 29 13 5 11 +4 44
9 Groningen 31 12 8 11 -8 44
10 Den Haag 31 10 11 10 +0 41
11 Heerenveen 31 11 8 12 -12 41
12 Utrecht 27 11 7 9 +7 40
13 Twente 31 11 6 14 -13 39
14 Roda 32 7 10 15 -21 31
15 Excelsior 31 6 8 17 -26 26
16 Willem II 31 5 10 16 -18 25
17 De Graafschap 31 4 7 20 -26 19
18 Cambuur 31 3 8 20 -40 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -15 Nijmegen – Zwolle 2–2

Match report

Zwolle Nijmegen
1–0 S. Becker
B. van Polen
17′
2–0 Q. Menig
O. Bouy
27′
37′
🔁 J. Sleegers
↦ A. Limbombe
37′
🔁 M. Roman
↦ Janio Bikel
Half-time 2–0
69′
🟨 Christian Santos
69′
🔁 J. Grot
↦ M. Appiah
W. Marinus 🔁
↦ A. El Hasnaoui
72′
K. Ehizibue 🔁
↦ S. Becker
72′
Gustavo Hebling 🔁
↦ T. Lam
80′
90′
🟨 Todd Kane
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

16 K. Begois G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
5 B. van Hintum D
28 T. Lam D
8 O. Bouy D
21 A. El Hasnaoui
19 R. Dekker M
9 L. Veldwijk F
7 S. Becker F
11 Q. Menig M
Bench (7)
18 W. Marinus
20 K. Ehizibue
38 Gustavo Hebling
17 J. Kvída
23 D. Tanda
25 B. de Jong
48 T. Evre

Nijmegen

30 B. Jones G
3 D. Dumić D
2 M. Appiah D
4 W. Golla D
16 T. Kane M
15 L. Woudenberg D
8 G. Breinburg M
25 N. Foor M
19 Janio Bikel M
11 C. Santos F
10 A. Limbombe F
Bench (7)
9 J. Sleegers
17 M. Roman
31 J. Grot
6 M. Dyrestam
22 J. Smits
24 M. Ritzmaier
37 J. Leiwakabessy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Edwin Van de Graaf · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.