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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

Den Haag

S T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 36%

30%

41%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

56%

37%

Both score Ø 52%

67%

37%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

9 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Den Haag 11. · Nijmegen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	27	20	6	1	+43	66
2	Ajax	27	20	5	2	+48	65
3	Feyenoord	28	15	4	9	+16	49
4	AZ Alkmaar	28	14	5	9	+11	47
5	Zwolle	26	12	5	9	+9	41
6	Heracles	26	12	5	9	-2	41
7	Vitesse	27	11	7	9	+19	40
8	Nijmegen	27	11	7	9	+0	40
9	Utrecht	25	10	6	9	+5	36
10	Twente	28	10	5	13	-13	35
11	Den Haag	27	8	10	9	-2	34
12	Groningen	26	9	7	10	-9	34
13	Heerenveen	28	9	7	12	-15	34
14	Roda	28	7	10	11	-14	31
15	Willem II	28	5	10	13	-13	25
16	Excelsior	28	6	7	15	-21	25
17	De Graafschap	28	4	5	19	-24	17
18	Cambuur	28	3	7	18	-38	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+30	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	3	0	+19	33
3	Feyenoord	14	9	2	3	+15	29
4	Nijmegen	14	9	2	3	+7	29
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	2	4	+9	26
6	Zwolle	13	8	2	3	+7	26
7	Twente	14	8	2	4	+5	26
8	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+4	26
9	Groningen	13	7	3	3	+5	24
10	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+14	23
11	Utrecht	12	6	4	2	+5	22
12	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	Den Haag	13	3	7	3	-1	16
14	Willem II	14	3	6	5	-3	15
15	Roda	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	Excelsior	14	4	3	7	-8	15
17	De Graafschap	14	3	3	8	-6	12
18	Cambuur	14	2	4	8	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+18	30
3	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	3	5	+2	21
4	Feyenoord	14	6	2	6	+1	20
5	Den Haag	14	5	3	6	-1	18
6	Vitesse	13	4	5	4	+5	17
7	Roda	14	4	4	6	-9	16
8	Zwolle	13	4	3	6	+2	15
9	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-6	15
10	Heerenveen	14	4	3	7	-11	15
11	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
12	Nijmegen	13	2	5	6	-7	11
13	Willem II	14	2	4	8	-10	10
14	Excelsior	14	2	4	8	-13	10
15	Groningen	13	2	4	7	-14	10
16	Twente	14	2	3	9	-18	9
17	Cambuur	14	1	3	10	-21	6
18	De Graafschap	14	1	2	11	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.