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Ligue 1

Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Toulouse

U S S U T

0–0

Full-time

Metz

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

33%

42%

Both score Ø 38%

42%

33%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,4

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

21 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Toulouse 12. · Metz 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+34	35
2	Monaco	13	9	2	2	+22	29
3	Lyon	12	7	4	1	+17	25
4	Marseille	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Nantes	13	7	2	4	-1	23
6	St Etienne	13	5	3	5	-4	18
7	Caen	12	6	0	6	-5	18
8	Montpellier	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Bordeaux	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Troyes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Toulouse	12	4	3	5	-5	15
13	Guingamp	12	4	2	6	-8	14
14	Angers	12	2	7	3	-3	13
15	Nice	12	4	1	7	-5	13
16	Lille	12	3	3	6	-4	12
17	Amiens	12	3	3	6	-6	12
18	Dijon	12	3	3	6	-7	12
19	Strasbourg	12	2	4	6	-10	10
20	Metz	12	1	0	11	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Monaco	6	5	1	0	+17	16
3	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Caen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
6	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+8	11
7	Guingamp	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	St Etienne	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Nice	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
11	Toulouse	5	3	1	1	+2	10
12	Montpellier	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Lille	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Troyes	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Rennes	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Dijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	+1	5
19	Angers	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Metz	6	0	0	6	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+1	13
4	Lyon	6	3	2	1	+9	11
5	Angers	6	2	4	0	+4	10
6	Nantes	7	3	1	3	-4	10
7	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Troyes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	St Etienne	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-5	6
12	Caen	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Dijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Amiens	7	1	2	4	-6	5
15	Toulouse	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Strasbourg	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	Lille	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Metz	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Nice	5	1	0	4	-8	3
20	Guingamp	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.