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Ligue 1

Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Lille

T S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Nice

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 34%

26%

42%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

16%

58%

Both score Ø 48%

37%

58%

Average goals

1,5

2,9

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 14. · Nice 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	17	3	0	+41	54
2	Angers	20	9	7	4	+8	34
3	Monaco	20	8	9	3	+2	33
4	Caen	20	9	3	8	-3	30
5	Nice	19	8	5	6	+9	29
6	Lyon	20	8	5	7	+3	29
7	St Etienne	20	9	2	9	-1	29
8	Rennes	20	6	10	4	+4	28
9	Lorient	20	6	9	5	+1	27
10	Nantes	20	7	6	7	-2	27
11	Bordeaux	20	6	8	6	-4	26
12	Marseille	19	6	7	6	+7	25
13	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	20	6	7	7	-2	25
14	Lille	19	5	9	5	+2	24
15	Montpellier	20	6	4	10	-4	22
16	Bastia	20	6	4	10	-6	22
17	Reims	20	5	6	9	-7	21
18	Toulouse	20	4	8	8	-10	20
19	Guingamp	19	5	4	10	-10	19
20	Troyes	20	0	8	12	-28	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	St Etienne	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Bastia	10	6	0	4	+5	18
4	Bordeaux	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Angers	11	4	6	1	+4	18
6	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	Lorient	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Caen	10	5	1	4	-4	16
9	Nantes	10	4	3	3	+0	15
10	Montpellier	11	5	0	6	-1	15
11	Lille	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Monaco	10	3	5	2	-1	14
13	Nice	9	4	1	4	+4	13
14	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	9	3	4	2	+2	13
15	Reims	11	3	4	4	+0	13
16	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	+1	12
17	Marseille	10	2	5	3	+6	11
18	Toulouse	9	2	5	2	+1	11
19	Rennes	10	2	5	3	-2	11
20	Troyes	11	0	6	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Monaco	10	5	4	1	+3	19
3	Rennes	10	4	5	1	+6	17
4	Nice	10	4	4	2	+5	16
5	Angers	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Caen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Marseille	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	Nantes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	Lyon	10	3	3	4	-4	12
10	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Lorient	10	2	5	3	-5	11
12	Lille	10	1	7	2	-2	10
13	St Etienne	10	3	0	7	-8	9
14	Toulouse	11	2	3	6	-11	9
15	Reims	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Bordeaux	10	1	5	4	-8	8
17	Montpellier	9	1	4	4	-3	7
18	Guingamp	10	2	1	7	-11	7
19	Bastia	10	0	4	6	-11	4
20	Troyes	9	0	2	7	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.