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Eliteserien

Referee: M Aslam

Jerv

U T S T T

0–5

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

25%

63%

Average goals

2,0

2,9

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%

16 Shots 26

3 Shots on target 13

9 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 10

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jerv 15. · Sarpsborg 08 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	9	7	2	0	+14	23
2	Viking	11	6	3	2	+10	21
3	Molde	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Stromsgodset	10	5	2	3	+1	17
5	Aalesund	9	4	2	3	-1	14
6	Bodo/Glimt	8	3	4	1	+6	13
7	Odd	10	4	0	6	-6	12
8	Rosenborg	8	2	5	1	+1	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	1	4	+1	10
10	Tromso	8	2	4	2	-3	10
11	Valerenga	9	3	1	5	-5	10
12	Ham-Kam	9	1	6	2	+1	9
13	Sandefjord	8	3	0	5	-4	9
14	Haugesund	9	2	1	6	-6	7
15	Jerv	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Kristiansund	7	0	1	6	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Molde	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Stromsgodset	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Rosenborg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	4	0	+4	7
7	Valerenga	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Jerv	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Aalesund	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Tromso	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Ham-Kam	5	1	3	1	+2	6
12	Odd	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Kristiansund	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Sandefjord	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Sandefjord	5	3	0	2	+2	9
3	Lillestrom	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Viking	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Aalesund	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Sarpsborg 08	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Odd	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Haugesund	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Ham-Kam	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Tromso	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Rosenborg	4	0	3	1	-3	3
14	Valerenga	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Kristiansund	4	0	0	4	-5	0
16	Jerv	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.