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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
Djurgarden
S U U S T
4–0
Full-time
Varberg
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

74% Possession 26%
23 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Djurgarden 5. · Varberg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hacken 10 7 2 1 +8 23
2 Hammarby 9 6 2 1 +12 20
3 AIK 10 6 2 2 +3 20
4 Kalmar 10 5 1 4 +4 16
5 Djurgarden 10 4 3 3 +8 15
6 Mjallby 10 4 3 3 +1 15
7 Malmo FF 10 4 3 3 +0 15
8 Elfsborg 9 4 2 3 +8 14
9 Goteborg 10 4 2 4 +1 14
10 Sirius 10 4 2 4 -5 14
11 Norrkoping 9 4 1 4 +2 13
12 Varberg 9 3 2 4 -4 11
13 Varnamo 9 2 3 4 -2 9
14 Degerfors 9 2 0 7 -13 6
15 Sundsvall 10 2 0 8 -15 6
16 Helsingborg 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.