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Eliteserien

Referee: D Higraff

Aalesund

T U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Jerv

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Jerv

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Eliteserien · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 34%

38%

29%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

38%

29%

Both score Ø 26%

38%

14%

Average goals

2,3

1,9

Scored

1,0

0,4

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

25 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 7

10 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aalesund 6. · Jerv 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	8	6	2	0	+12	20
2	Viking	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Molde	8	5	1	2	+7	16
4	Stromsgodset	8	4	1	3	+0	13
5	Bodo/Glimt	7	3	3	1	+6	12
6	Aalesund	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+2	10
8	Rosenborg	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Tromso	8	2	4	2	-3	10
10	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	Odd	8	3	0	5	-6	9
12	Ham-Kam	7	1	5	1	+2	8
13	Jerv	7	2	1	4	-7	7
14	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-5	6
15	Haugesund	8	2	0	6	-6	6
16	Kristiansund	7	0	1	6	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Lillestrom	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Molde	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Rosenborg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Valerenga	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Jerv	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Tromso	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	3	0	+4	6
9	Ham-Kam	4	1	3	0	+3	6
10	Odd	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Stromsgodset	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Aalesund	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Kristiansund	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Sandefjord	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Molde	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Stromsgodset	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Viking	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Aalesund	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Sarpsborg 08	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-2	3
10	Tromso	4	0	3	1	-2	3
11	Rosenborg	4	0	3	1	-3	3
12	Odd	4	1	0	3	-4	3
13	Valerenga	5	1	0	4	-5	3
14	Ham-Kam	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Kristiansund	4	0	0	4	-5	0
16	Jerv	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.