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Eliteserien
Referee: S Amland
Valerenga
S T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Ham-Kam
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
20%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 8. · Ham-Kam 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Viking 8 6 1 1 +11 19
2 Lillestrom 7 5 2 0 +9 17
3 Molde 7 4 1 2 +6 13
4 Sarpsborg 08 6 3 1 2 +3 10
5 Stromsgodset 7 3 1 3 -1 10
6 Bodo/Glimt 6 2 3 1 +3 9
7 Rosenborg 6 2 3 1 +1 9
8 Valerenga 6 3 0 3 -2 9
9 Tromso 7 2 3 2 -3 9
10 Aalesund 7 2 2 3 -3 8
11 Jerv 6 2 1 3 -6 7
12 Ham-Kam 5 1 3 1 +2 6
13 Sandefjord 6 2 0 4 -2 6
14 Haugesund 7 2 0 5 -3 6
15 Odd 7 2 0 5 -7 6
16 Kristiansund 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Ham-Kam
44′
🟨 Vegard Kongsro
Half-time 0–1
56′
J. Enkerud 0–1
V. Kongsro
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ V. Kjartansson
62′
O. Holm 🔁
↦ T. Ismaheel
62′
1–1 L. Zuta
O. Sahraoui
75′
J. Eng 🔁
↦ T. Christensen
80′
J. Nation 🔁
↦ B. Bjarnason
85′
91′
🔁 J. Dunn-Johnson
↦ F. Sjølstad
92′
🔁 B. Thoresen
↦ E. Sildnes
94′
🔁 A. Nouri
↦ V. Kongsro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
1 K. Haug G
6 V. Hedenstad D
5 L. Zuta D
22 I. Näsberg D
23 B. Bjarnason D
8 H. Bjørdal M
26 A. Dønnum F
9 V. Kjartansson F
17 T. Christensen M
10 O. Sahraoui M
18 T. Ismaheel F
Bench (9)
14 H. Udahl
15 O. Holm
27 J. Eng
4 J. Nation
19 S. Jatta
3 B. Skaret
16 M. Emilsen
20 M. Riisnæs
21 M. Sjøeng

Coach: D. Fagermo

Ham-Kam

3-4-3
96 N. Hagen G
33 A. Melgalvis M
2 V. Kongsro M
58 H. Kuruçay D
8 V. Skjærvik D
14 H. Rødølen D
10 E. Sildnes F
23 F. Sjølstad M
6 K. Eriksen F
19 O. Sørensen M
9 J. Enkerud F
Bench (9)
4 A. Nouri
21 B. Thoresen
5 J. Dunn-Johnson
73 E. Dašķevičs
1 L. Jendal
20 J. Gonstad
22 K. Hernández-Foster
12 C. Bayiha
3 F. Faerrón

Coach: J. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Amland · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.