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Serie A

Referee: Piero Giacomelli

Milan

S U U S S

3–0

Full-time

Empoli

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

46%

21%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

46%

67%

Both score Ø 61%

58%

63%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

6 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 4. · Empoli 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	24	21	3	0	+37	66
2	Napoli	24	16	5	3	+24	53
3	Inter	24	14	4	6	+17	46
4	Milan	24	11	9	4	+13	42
5	Roma	24	11	8	5	+15	41
6	Atalanta	24	11	5	8	+17	38
7	Lazio	24	11	5	8	+6	38
8	Fiorentina	24	8	11	5	+11	35
9	Torino	24	8	11	5	+6	35
10	Sampdoria	24	9	6	9	+8	33
11	Sassuolo	24	7	9	8	-5	30
12	Parma	24	8	5	11	-8	29
13	Genoa	24	7	7	10	-9	28
14	Cagliari	24	5	9	10	-14	24
15	Udinese	24	5	7	12	-12	22
16	Spal	24	5	7	12	-15	22
17	Empoli	24	5	6	13	-15	21
18	Bologna	24	3	9	12	-18	18
19	Frosinone	24	3	7	14	-29	16
20	Chievo	24	1	9	14	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	11	2	0	+20	35
2	Napoli	13	10	3	0	+21	33
3	Inter	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Roma	12	7	4	1	+12	25
5	Milan	12	7	3	2	+7	24
6	Lazio	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	Sampdoria	11	6	2	3	+10	20
8	Genoa	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Fiorentina	11	5	4	2	+9	19
10	Torino	11	6	1	4	+3	19
11	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	+7	18
12	Cagliari	12	4	6	2	+3	18
13	Empoli	13	5	2	6	-1	17
14	Sassuolo	12	4	5	3	-2	17
15	Udinese	13	4	3	6	-5	15
16	Parma	12	3	4	5	-3	13
17	Spal	12	2	6	4	-6	12
18	Bologna	11	2	4	5	-8	10
19	Chievo	12	1	4	7	-13	7
20	Frosinone	11	0	5	6	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+17	31
2	Atalanta	12	6	2	4	+10	20
3	Inter	12	6	2	4	+4	20
4	Napoli	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	Milan	12	4	6	2	+6	18
6	Lazio	12	5	2	5	+0	17
7	Roma	12	4	4	4	+3	16
8	Torino	13	2	10	1	+3	16
9	Fiorentina	13	3	7	3	+2	16
10	Parma	12	5	1	6	-5	16
11	Sampdoria	13	3	4	6	-2	13
12	Sassuolo	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	Frosinone	13	3	2	8	-13	11
14	Spal	12	3	1	8	-9	10
15	Bologna	13	1	5	7	-10	8
16	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-11	8
17	Udinese	11	1	4	6	-7	7
18	Cagliari	12	1	3	8	-17	6
19	Chievo	12	0	5	7	-16	5
20	Empoli	11	0	4	7	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.