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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Empoli

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Milan

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 23%

20%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

40%

75%

Both score Ø 70%

40%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

3 Shots 24

3 Shots on target 10

0 Blocked shots 7

10 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

6 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 17. · Milan 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+9	18
2	Napoli	6	5	0	1	+5	15
3	Sassuolo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Lazio	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Fiorentina	6	3	1	2	+7	10
6	Inter	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Genoa	5	3	0	2	-1	9
8	Spal	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+6	8
10	Roma	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Udinese	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Parma	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Atalanta	6	1	3	2	+1	6
14	Torino	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Cagliari	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Milan	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Bologna	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Chievo	6	0	2	4	-10	2
20	Frosinone	6	0	1	5	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Genoa	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Roma	3	1	2	0	+4	5
9	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Parma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Cagliari	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Torino	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Bologna	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Frosinone	3	0	1	2	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Inter	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+4	4
6	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Torino	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Roma	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Spal	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Parma	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Atalanta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Frosinone	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.