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Serie A
Referee: Davide Massa
Juventus
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Roma
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 66%
94%
38%
Points per game
2,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
44%
63%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 1. · Roma 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 16 15 1 0 +25 46
2 Napoli 17 13 2 2 +20 41
3 Inter 17 10 3 4 +15 33
4 Lazio 17 8 4 5 +5 28
5 Milan 17 7 6 4 +5 27
6 Sampdoria 17 7 5 5 +8 26
7 Fiorentina 17 6 7 4 +8 25
8 Sassuolo 17 6 7 4 +4 25
9 Atalanta 17 7 3 7 +8 24
10 Roma 16 6 6 4 +7 24
11 Torino 17 5 8 4 +2 23
12 Parma 17 6 4 7 -5 22
13 Genoa 17 5 4 8 -9 19
14 Cagliari 17 3 8 6 -7 17
15 Empoli 17 4 4 9 -11 16
16 Spal 17 4 4 9 -11 16
17 Udinese 17 3 5 9 -9 14
18 Bologna 17 2 7 8 -11 13
19 Frosinone 17 1 6 10 -24 9
20 Chievo 17 0 8 9 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Roma
1–0 M. Mandžukić
M. De Sciglio
35′
40′
🟨 Steven​ N'Zonzi
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Kluivert
↦ A. Florenzi
E. Can 🔁
↦ M. Pjanić
71′
71′
🔁 D. Perotti
↦ C. Ünder
79′
🔁 E. Džeko
↦ S. Nzonzi
Douglas Costa 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
80′
81′
🟨 Patrik Schick
90′
🟨 Nicolò Zaniolo
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juventus

4-3-3
1 W. Szczęsny G
19 L. Bonucci D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
2 M. De Sciglio D
14 B. Matuidi M
5 M. Pjanić M
30 R. Bentancur M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
17 M. Mandžukić F
10 P. Dybala F
Bench (10)
23 E. Can
11 Douglas Costa
4 M. Benatia
6 S. Khedira
18 M. Kean
21 C. Pinsoglio
22 M. Perin
24 D. Rugani
33 F. Bernardeschi
37 L. Spinazzola

Coach: M. Allegri

Roma

5-3-2
1 R. Olsen G
11 A. Kolarov D
20 F. Fazio D
18 D. Santon D
44 K. Manolas D
24 A. Florenzi D
42 S. Nzonzi M
4 B. Cristante M
17 C. Ünder M
22 N. Zaniolo M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (10)
34 J. Kluivert
8 D. Perotti
9 E. Džeko
2 R. Karsdorp
3 Luca Pellegrini
5 Juan Jesus
15 Ivan Marcano
27 J. Pastore
63 Daniel Fuzato
83 A. Mirante

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.