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Championship
Referee: David Coote
1–0
Full-time
Preston
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
77%
55%
Both score Ø 68%
77%
59%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 18. · Preston 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 22 13 5 4 +14 44
2 Leeds 21 12 6 3 +15 42
3 West Brom 21 11 5 5 +15 38
4 Derby 21 11 5 5 +10 38
5 Sheffield United 22 11 4 7 +9 37
6 Middlesbrough 22 9 9 4 +8 36
7 Nott'm Forest 22 8 11 3 +10 35
8 Aston Villa 21 8 8 5 +9 32
9 Swansea 22 9 5 8 +3 32
10 Birmingham 22 7 10 5 +5 31
11 Stoke 22 7 10 5 +2 31
12 Blackburn 22 7 10 5 -4 31
13 QPR 22 9 4 9 -5 31
14 Bristol City 22 8 6 8 +1 30
15 Preston 22 7 7 8 -2 28
16 Wigan 22 7 4 11 -7 25
17 Hull 22 6 6 10 -7 24
18 Sheffield Weds 22 6 6 10 -12 24
19 Brentford 22 5 7 10 -1 22
20 Rotherham 22 4 10 8 -11 22
21 Reading 22 4 7 11 -8 19
22 Millwall 22 4 7 11 -10 19
23 Bolton 22 4 6 12 -15 18
24 Ipswich 22 2 8 12 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.