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Ligue 1
Referee: J Miguelgorry
Reims
S U T U S
2–2
Full-time
Caen
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
22%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
1,6
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

65% Possession 35%
19 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 2
5 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 8. · Caen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 16 14 2 0 +39 44
2 Lille 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Lyon 17 9 4 4 +9 31
4 Montpellier 16 8 5 3 +12 29
5 St Etienne 17 7 6 4 +3 27
6 Marseille 16 8 2 6 +4 26
7 Nice 17 7 5 5 -2 26
8 Reims 18 6 7 5 -3 25
9 Strasbourg 18 5 8 5 +5 23
10 Nimes 17 6 5 6 +2 23
11 Rennes 17 6 5 6 -2 23
12 Bordeaux 16 5 6 5 +0 21
13 Nantes 16 5 5 6 +0 20
14 Angers 16 4 6 6 -2 18
15 Toulouse 17 4 6 7 -11 18
16 Caen 18 3 8 7 -6 17
17 Dijon 17 4 4 9 -12 16
18 Amiens 17 5 1 11 -14 16
19 Monaco 17 3 4 10 -11 13
20 Guingamp 17 1 5 11 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Caen
Hyun-Jun Suk 🟨
1′
1–0 Suk Hyun-Jun
7′
16′
🟨 Frédéric Guilbert
Yunis Abdelhamid 🟨
26′
28′
C. Ninga 1–1
45′
E. Crivelli 1–2
C. Ninga
Half-time 1–2
S. Ojo 🔁
↦ Suk Hyun-Jun
46′
2–2 B. Engels
X. Chavalerin
53′
55′
🔁 E. Joseph
↦ S. Khaoui
63′
🟨 Yoel Armougom
M. Martin 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
70′
79′
🔁 M. Tchokounté
↦ E. Crivelli
86′
🔁 E. Imorou
↦ C. Ninga
Björn Engels 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Malik Tchokounte
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
16 E. Mendy G
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
2 B. Engels D
32 T. Foket D
3 G. Konan D
4 A. Romao M
7 X. Chavalerin M
25 M. Doumbia M
24 M. Cafaro M
10 Suk Hyun-Jun F
18 R. Oudin M
Bench (7)
11 S. Ojo
8 M. Martin
26 N. Mbemba
19 T. Fontaine
17 A. Ndom
1 J. Carrasso
20 T. Dingomé

Coach: D. Guion

Caen

4-2-3-1
30 B. Samba G
2 P. Baysse D
21 F. Guilbert D
3 Y. Armougom D
10 F. Fajr M
4 I. Diomandé D
5 B. Sankoh M
7 S. Khaoui M
17 J. Deminguet M
11 C. Ninga F
27 E. Crivelli F
Bench (7)
13 E. Joseph
19 M. Tchokounté
15 E. Imorou
14 J. Gradit
1 E. Zelazny
33 Y. Zahary
24 A. Djiku

Coach: F. Mercadal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Miguelgorry · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.