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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Inter

U T T U T

0–1

Full-time

Napoli

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,2

3,3

Scored

2,8

2,5

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,7

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 58%

52%

64%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

67%

70%

Both score Ø 63%

61%

64%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

1,9

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 7. · Napoli 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	34	27	3	4	+48	84
2	Roma	34	24	3	7	+44	75
3	Napoli	33	21	8	4	+42	71
4	Lazio	34	20	7	7	+24	67
5	Atalanta	34	19	7	8	+19	64
6	Milan	34	17	8	9	+13	59
7	Inter	33	17	5	11	+21	56
8	Fiorentina	34	15	10	9	+8	55
9	Torino	34	12	13	9	+9	49
10	Sampdoria	34	12	10	12	+0	46
11	Udinese	34	12	7	15	-5	43
12	Chievo	34	12	5	17	-15	41
13	Cagliari	34	12	5	17	-17	41
14	Sassuolo	34	11	6	17	-8	39
15	Bologna	34	10	8	16	-14	38
16	Genoa	34	7	9	18	-26	30
17	Empoli	34	7	8	19	-31	29
18	Crotone	34	6	7	21	-25	25
19	Palermo	34	4	7	23	-44	19
20	Pescara	34	2	8	24	-43	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	17	0	0	+36	51
2	Roma	17	14	1	2	+29	43
3	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+20	37
4	Atalanta	17	11	3	3	+12	36
5	Lazio	17	11	2	4	+15	35
6	Milan	17	11	2	4	+12	35
7	Fiorentina	17	9	7	1	+10	34
8	Inter	16	10	3	3	+21	33
9	Torino	17	8	8	1	+15	32
10	Cagliari	17	9	3	5	+2	30
11	Sampdoria	17	8	5	4	+7	29
12	Udinese	17	8	3	6	+7	27
13	Bologna	17	7	2	8	-2	23
14	Chievo	17	6	4	7	-3	22
15	Sassuolo	17	6	2	9	-5	20
16	Genoa	17	4	7	6	-2	19
17	Crotone	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Empoli	17	4	4	9	-14	16
19	Palermo	17	2	3	12	-19	9
20	Pescara	17	1	5	11	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	10	4	2	+22	34
2	Juventus	17	10	3	4	+12	33
3	Roma	17	10	2	5	+15	32
4	Lazio	17	9	5	3	+9	32
5	Atalanta	17	8	4	5	+7	28
6	Milan	17	6	6	5	+1	24
7	Inter	17	7	2	8	+0	23
8	Fiorentina	17	6	3	8	-2	21
9	Sassuolo	17	5	4	8	-3	19
10	Chievo	17	6	1	10	-12	19
11	Torino	17	4	5	8	-6	17
12	Sampdoria	17	4	5	8	-7	17
13	Udinese	17	4	4	9	-12	16
14	Bologna	17	3	6	8	-12	15
15	Empoli	17	3	4	10	-17	13
16	Cagliari	17	3	2	12	-19	11
17	Genoa	17	3	2	12	-24	11
18	Palermo	17	2	4	11	-25	10
19	Crotone	17	2	3	12	-18	9
20	Pescara	17	1	3	13	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.