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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Odd
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Valerenga
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 20%
0%
40%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
0,6
1,6
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odd 13. · Valerenga 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Sarpsborg 08 5 4 0 1 +8 12
3 Stabaek 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Brann 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Molde 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Haugesund 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Aalesund 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 Stromsgodset 6 2 2 2 -2 8
9 Sandefjord 6 2 1 3 -2 7
10 Tromso 6 2 1 3 -2 7
11 Valerenga 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Lillestrom 6 2 0 4 -5 6
13 Odd 5 2 0 3 -5 6
14 Kristiansund 6 2 0 4 -6 6
15 Viking 6 1 1 4 -3 4
16 Sogndal 6 1 1 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Valerenga
1–0 P. Diouf
32′
2–0 F. Nordkvelle
O. Berg
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Ibrahim
↦ H. Johansen
46′
🔁 D. Berntsen
↦ M. Grødem
61′
🟨 Daniel Berntsen
69′
G. Zahid 2–1
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ T. Agdestein
74′
S. Mladenovic 🔁
↦ Riku Riski
75′
77′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ B. Finne
V. Bergan 🔁
↦ F. Semb Berge
80′
Pape Pate Diouf 🟨
82′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
18 J. Nilsen M
16 F. Semb Berge D
5 T. Grøgaard D
14 F. Nordkvelle M
6 O. Berg M
24 Riku Riski F
27 P. Diouf F
9 T. Agdestein F
Bench (7)
15 S. Haugen
13 S. Mladenovic
4 V. Bergan
3 A. Gashi
12 V. Myhra
25 J. Kitolano
17 M. Kaasa

Coach: D. Fagermo

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sandberg G
3 E. Jääger D
4 J. Nation D
5 R. Lundström D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
10 G. Zahid M
21 S. Juklerød D
29 M. Grødem M
20 H. Johansen F
11 B. Finne M
Bench (7)
6 A. Ibrahim
15 D. Berntsen
40 C. Ejuke
2 M. Nakkim
14 H. Stengel
18 C. Borchgrevink
30 A. Falch

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.