La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Alaves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
35 | 25 | 6 | 4 | +71 | 81 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | +53 | 81 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | +40 | 71 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | +20 | 68 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | +24 | 63 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | +6 | 61 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +10 | 59 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +7 | 51 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | -2 | 50 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -8 | 45 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 |
Valencia
|
35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 |
Malaga
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 |
Las Palmas
|
35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -14 | 39 |
| 15 |
Betis
|
34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | -16 | 37 |
| 16 |
La Coruna
|
35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | -32 | 24 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | -46 | 20 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
35 | 3 | 10 | 22 | -47 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Mandi
D
Dani Ceballos
M
Coach: Víctor Sánchez
Ortolá
G
R. Ely
D
Coach: M. Pellegrino
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Betis
Celta
Betis
Betis
Eibar
Las Palmas
Betis
Betis
Villarreal
Daniel Ocon Arraiz · 17 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.