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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Chaves
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Feirense
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Feirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
25%
63%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chaves 6. · Feirense 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 9 8 1 0 +18 25
2 Porto 9 6 2 1 +14 20
3 Sp Braga 9 6 2 1 +7 20
4 Sp Lisbon 9 5 3 1 +7 18
5 Guimaraes 9 5 2 2 +6 17
6 Chaves 8 3 3 2 +1 12
7 Rio Ave 9 3 2 4 -3 11
8 Vitoria Setubal 9 2 4 3 -1 10
9 Boavista 9 2 4 3 -2 10
10 Maritimo 9 3 1 5 -4 10
11 Feirense 8 3 1 4 -7 10
12 Pacos Ferreira 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Belenenses 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Nacional 9 2 2 5 -5 8
15 Moreirense 9 2 2 5 -5 8
16 Estoril 9 2 2 5 -6 8
17 Arouca 9 2 2 5 -6 8
18 Tondela 9 1 3 5 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.