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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Brych

Hamburg

U S U U T

2–0

Full-time

Hertha

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 40%

29%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

54%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

58%

42%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 12. · Hertha 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	20	3	2	+46	63
2	Dortmund	25	18	4	3	+34	58
3	Hertha	24	12	6	6	+9	42
4	Schalke 04	25	12	5	8	+5	41
5	Mainz	25	12	4	9	+4	40
6	M'gladbach	25	12	3	10	+8	39
7	Wolfsburg	25	10	7	8	+6	37
8	Leverkusen	25	10	6	9	+3	36
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	25	8	8	9	-7	32
10	Stuttgart	25	9	4	12	-9	31
11	FC Koln	25	7	9	9	-7	30
12	Hamburg	24	7	7	10	-6	28
13	Werder Bremen	25	7	6	12	-13	27
14	Augsburg	25	6	8	11	-8	26
15	Darmstadt	25	6	8	11	-13	26
16	Ein Frankfurt	25	5	9	11	-12	24
17	Hoffenheim	25	4	9	12	-16	21
18	Hannover	25	5	2	18	-24	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	11	0	1	+32	33
2	Dortmund	12	10	2	0	+25	32
3	M'gladbach	13	9	1	3	+13	28
4	Wolfsburg	13	8	3	2	+15	27
5	Hertha	12	7	4	1	+9	25
6	Schalke 04	13	7	3	3	+4	24
7	Mainz	13	7	2	4	+4	23
8	Stuttgart	13	6	1	6	-1	19
9	Leverkusen	12	5	3	4	+5	18
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	FC Koln	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Ein Frankfurt	13	3	6	4	-3	15
13	Hoffenheim	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Hamburg	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Augsburg	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Werder Bremen	12	2	4	6	-8	10
17	Darmstadt	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Hannover	12	2	0	10	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	3	1	+14	30
2	Dortmund	13	8	2	3	+9	26
3	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+0	19
4	Leverkusen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
5	Schalke 04	12	5	2	5	+1	17
6	Mainz	12	5	2	5	+0	17
7	Hertha	12	5	2	5	+0	17
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	2	6	-5	17
9	Augsburg	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Hamburg	12	4	3	5	-4	15
11	FC Koln	12	3	5	4	-5	14
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	3	5	5	-8	14
13	Stuttgart	12	3	3	6	-8	12
14	M'gladbach	12	3	2	7	-5	11
15	Hannover	13	3	2	8	-13	11
16	Wolfsburg	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Ein Frankfurt	12	2	3	7	-9	9
18	Hoffenheim	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.