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Serie A
Referee: Davide Ghersini
Chievo
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
38%
42%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 10. · Sassuolo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 24 17 5 2 +34 56
2 Juventus 24 17 3 4 +30 54
3 Roma 25 13 8 4 +20 47
4 Fiorentina 24 14 4 6 +19 46
5 Inter 24 13 6 5 +10 45
6 Milan 24 11 7 6 +9 40
7 Lazio 25 10 6 9 +0 36
8 Sassuolo 24 8 10 6 +0 34
9 Empoli 25 9 7 9 -4 34
10 Chievo 24 8 6 10 -3 30
11 Bologna 24 9 3 12 -3 30
12 Torino 24 7 7 10 -2 28
13 Atalanta 24 7 7 10 -4 28
14 Udinese 24 7 6 11 -16 27
15 Palermo 24 7 5 12 -13 26
16 Genoa 24 6 7 11 -4 25
17 Sampdoria 24 6 6 12 -7 24
18 Frosinone 25 6 4 15 -25 22
19 Carpi 25 4 7 14 -20 19
20 Verona 25 1 12 12 -21 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Sep -15 Sassuolo – Chievo 1–1

Match report

Chievo Sassuolo
Nicola Rigoni 🟨
23′
Valter Birsa 🟨
25′
Ivan Radovanović 🟨
25′
29′
🟨 Federico Peluso
1–0 V. Birsa
29′
30′
N. Sansone 1–1
A. Duncan
P. M'Poku 🔁
↦ A. Floro Flores
36′
Half-time 1–1
G. Sardo 🔁
↦ N. Frey
56′
59′
🟨 Simone Missiroli
F. Costa 🔁
↦ V. Birsa
69′
72′
🔁 M. Trotta
↦ D. Falcinelli
80′
🔁 M. Politano
↦ D. Berardi
80′
🔁 G. Defrel
↦ N. Sansone
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.