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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Chievo
U U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
30%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 12. · Sampdoria 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fiorentina 11 8 0 3 +13 24
2 Inter 11 7 3 1 +4 24
3 Roma 11 7 2 2 +12 23
4 Napoli 11 6 4 1 +13 22
5 Sassuolo 11 5 4 2 +3 19
6 Milan 11 6 1 4 -1 19
7 Lazio 11 6 0 5 -2 18
8 Atalanta 11 5 2 4 -1 17
9 Sampdoria 10 4 3 3 +4 15
10 Juventus 11 4 3 4 +3 15
11 Torino 11 4 3 4 +0 15
12 Chievo 10 3 3 4 +3 12
13 Udinese 11 3 3 5 -4 12
14 Genoa 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 Empoli 10 3 2 5 -4 11
16 Palermo 10 3 2 5 -4 11
17 Frosinone 11 3 1 7 -7 10
18 Bologna 11 3 0 8 -6 9
19 Verona 11 0 6 5 -9 6
20 Carpi 11 1 3 7 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.