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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Chievo

T S U U T

0–1

Full-time

Napoli

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

38%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

38%

88%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%

7 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

6 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chievo 11. · Napoli 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	9	6	2	1	+11	20
2	Fiorentina	9	6	0	3	+8	18
3	Inter	9	5	3	1	+2	18
4	Lazio	9	6	0	3	+1	18
5	Napoli	8	4	3	1	+10	15
6	Sassuolo	9	4	3	2	+2	15
7	Sampdoria	9	4	2	3	+4	14
8	Torino	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Milan	9	4	1	4	-4	13
11	Chievo	8	3	3	2	+5	12
12	Juventus	9	3	3	3	+3	12
13	Palermo	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Udinese	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Empoli	9	3	1	5	-4	10
16	Genoa	9	3	1	5	-4	10
17	Frosinone	9	2	1	6	-5	7
18	Bologna	9	2	0	7	-8	6
19	Verona	9	0	5	4	-7	5
20	Carpi	9	1	2	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Sampdoria	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Fiorentina	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Roma	4	3	1	0	+7	10
5	Napoli	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+6	10
7	Torino	4	3	1	0	+5	10
8	Inter	5	3	1	1	+0	10
9	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+2	9
10	Milan	4	3	0	1	-1	9
11	Juventus	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+2	8
13	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
14	Empoli	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Frosinone	4	2	0	2	+1	6
16	Palermo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Carpi	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Verona	4	0	3	1	-1	3
20	Bologna	4	1	0	3	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Inter	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
4	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Napoli	4	1	2	1	+3	5
8	Chievo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Juventus	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Milan	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Torino	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Atalanta	5	1	1	3	-5	4
13	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Bologna	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	Lazio	4	1	0	3	-9	3
16	Verona	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Frosinone	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Carpi	4	0	1	3	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.