Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aalesund
Molde
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | +44 | 62 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 53 |
| 3 |
Stromsgodset
|
27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 |
Odd
|
27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 48 |
| 5 |
Viking
|
27 | 15 | 2 | 10 | +14 | 47 |
| 6 |
Valerenga
|
28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +8 | 47 |
| 7 |
Molde
|
27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +24 | 43 |
| 8 |
Lillestrom
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +2 | 39 |
| 9 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 |
Aalesund
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -14 | 35 |
| 11 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 |
Haugesund
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -17 | 31 |
| 13 |
Tromso
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 |
Start
|
28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -25 | 22 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -28 | 21 |
| 16 |
Sandefjord
|
27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | -29 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stabaek
Aalesund
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Tromso
Aalesund
Aalesund
Odd
Lillestrom
Aalesund
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.