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Serie A

Referee: Antonio Damato

Inter

S S S S S

1–4

Full-time

Fiorentina

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 90%

100%

80%

Points per game

3,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

20%

Both score Ø 20%

20%

Average goals

1,4

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

0,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 90%

100%

80%

Points per game

3,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

20%

Both score Ø 20%

20%

Average goals

1,4

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

0,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

31% Possession 69%

5 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 1. · Fiorentina 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	5	5	0	0	+5	15
2	Torino	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Fiorentina	5	4	0	1	+4	12
4	Sassuolo	6	3	3	0	+3	12
5	Lazio	6	4	0	2	-3	12
6	Roma	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Chievo	6	3	2	1	+6	11
8	Sampdoria	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Napoli	6	2	3	1	+5	9
10	Milan	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Atalanta	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Palermo	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Udinese	6	2	0	4	-3	6
14	Genoa	6	2	0	4	-3	6
15	Juventus	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Verona	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	Bologna	6	1	0	5	-6	3
19	Carpi	6	0	2	4	-9	2
20	Frosinone	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sampdoria	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Torino	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Lazio	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Fiorentina	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Inter	3	3	0	0	+3	9
6	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Chievo	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Milan	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Palermo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Bologna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Juventus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Carpi	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Chievo	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Roma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Juventus	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Lazio	3	1	0	2	-8	3
14	Napoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Verona	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Frosinone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Carpi	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Genoa	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.