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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Velasco Carballo
Sociedad
U U T T S
0–0
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
20%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
20%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 13. · Ath Bilbao 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Barcelona 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +13 14
4 Celta 6 4 2 0 +8 14
5 Ath Madrid 6 4 0 2 +6 12
6 La Coruna 6 3 2 1 +5 11
7 Eibar 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Valencia 6 2 3 1 +1 9
9 Espanol 6 3 0 3 -8 9
10 Betis 6 2 2 2 -4 8
11 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Getafe 6 2 0 4 -2 6
13 Sociedad 5 1 2 2 +1 5
14 Las Palmas 6 1 2 3 -1 5
15 Sp Gijon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Sevilla 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Malaga 6 0 3 3 -3 3
18 Ath Bilbao 5 1 0 4 -4 3
19 Levante 6 0 3 3 -7 3
20 Granada 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Asier Illarramendi 🟨
8′
37′
🟨 Beñat Etxebarria
Half-time 0–0
Rubén Pardo 🟨
52′
68′
🟨 Raúl García
Iñigo Martínez 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 Iñaki Williams
↦ Sabin
Bruma 🔁
↦ Canales
73′
Xabi Prieto 🔁
↦ Zurutuza
73′
75′
🟨 Iñaki Williams
81′
🔁 Iturraspe
↦ Beñat
82′
🟨 Xabier Etxeita
Jonathas 🔁
↦ Agirretxe
87′
91′
🔁 Lekue
↦ Susaeta
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

1 G. Rulli G
24 De La Bella D
23 D. Reyes D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
30 Aritz Elustondo D
16 Canales M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
14 Rubén Pardo M
9 Agirretxe F
11 C. Vela F
Bench (7)
7 Bruma
10 Xabi Prieto
22 Jonathas
18 G. Castro
3 Mikel González
13 Oier
19 Yuri

Ath Bilbao

1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
16 Etxeita D
4 A. Laporte D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
7 Beñat M
10 De Marcos D
20 Aduriz F
25 Sabin F
Bench (7)
15 Iñaki Williams
8 Iturraspe
30 Lekue
18 Gurpegi
5 Eraso
17 Mikel Rico
13 Iago Herrerín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Velasco Carballo · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
3,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.