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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez

Malaga

T U U T T

1–2

Full-time

Valencia

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,0

3,2

Scored

0,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 35%

13%

57%

Points per game

0,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

26%

65%

Both score Ø 44%

26%

61%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

0,6

2,0

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 20. · Valencia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	24	19	5	0	+51	62
2	Ath Madrid	23	15	7	1	+25	52
3	Valencia	23	13	4	6	+18	43
4	Real Madrid	22	12	6	4	+27	42
5	Sevilla	24	12	3	9	-4	39
6	Villarreal	23	11	4	8	+6	37
7	Eibar	24	10	5	9	-4	35
8	Girona	24	9	7	8	+4	34
9	Betis	23	10	3	10	-7	33
10	Celta	23	9	5	9	+7	32
11	Getafe	23	7	9	7	+5	30
12	Leganes	23	8	5	10	-5	29
13	Ath Bilbao	23	6	10	7	-1	28
14	Alaves	24	9	1	14	-11	28
15	Sociedad	23	7	5	11	-2	26
16	Espanol	23	6	8	9	-10	26
17	Levante	23	3	11	9	-14	20
18	Las Palmas	24	5	3	16	-34	18
19	La Coruna	24	4	5	15	-29	17
20	Malaga	23	3	4	16	-22	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	2	0	+26	29
2	Valencia	12	8	2	2	+14	26
3	Ath Madrid	11	7	4	0	+11	25
4	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+9	24
5	Real Madrid	12	7	2	3	+18	23
6	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+8	21
8	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+10	20
9	Girona	12	6	2	4	+8	20
10	Betis	12	6	2	4	-1	20
11	Alaves	13	6	1	6	-3	19
12	Espanol	12	5	3	4	+0	18
13	Leganes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
14	Celta	11	4	4	3	+2	16
15	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+4	15
16	Ath Bilbao	11	3	6	2	+2	15
17	Las Palmas	12	4	1	7	-11	13
18	Levante	12	2	5	5	-6	11
19	La Coruna	12	3	2	7	-8	11
20	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	10	3	0	+25	33
2	Ath Madrid	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Valencia	11	5	2	4	+4	17
5	Villarreal	12	5	2	5	-4	17
6	Celta	12	5	1	6	+5	16
7	Sevilla	13	5	0	8	-13	15
8	Girona	12	3	5	4	-4	14
9	Eibar	11	4	2	5	-12	14
10	Ath Bilbao	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Betis	11	4	1	6	-6	13
12	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-6	12
13	Sociedad	11	3	2	6	-6	11
14	Getafe	11	1	6	4	-4	9
15	Alaves	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	Levante	11	1	6	4	-8	9
17	Espanol	11	1	5	5	-10	8
18	La Coruna	12	1	3	8	-21	6
19	Las Palmas	12	1	2	9	-23	5
20	Malaga	12	1	1	10	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.