La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Las Palmas
Espanol
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | +31 | 39 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | +18 | 36 |
| 3 |
Valencia
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +20 | 34 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +19 | 31 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +0 | 29 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |
Girona
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 21 |
| 9 |
Getafe
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +4 | 20 |
| 10 |
Sociedad
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +0 | 20 |
| 11 |
Leganes
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Celta
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |
Ath Bilbao
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 18 |
| 15 |
Levante
|
16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 16 |
| 17 |
La Coruna
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 15 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 19 |
Malaga
|
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 |
Las Palmas
|
15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Raúl Lizoáin
G
Bigas
D
Coach: Paquito Ortiz
Pau López
G
Mario Hermoso
D
Aarón Martín
D
David López
D
Sergi Darder
M
Gerard Moreno
F
Léo Baptistão
F
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Alaves
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Betis
Sociedad
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Levante
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.