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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Crotone

S T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Chievo

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Chievo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 25%

19%

31%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 18. · Chievo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	17	13	3	1	+27	42
2	Inter	17	12	4	1	+21	40
3	Juventus	16	12	2	2	+27	38
4	Roma	16	12	2	2	+18	38
5	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+17	32
6	Sampdoria	15	8	3	4	+8	27
7	Milan	17	7	3	7	-1	24
8	Atalanta	16	6	5	5	+3	23
9	Torino	17	5	8	4	-2	23
10	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	+7	22
11	Udinese	16	7	0	9	+1	21
12	Bologna	16	6	3	7	-1	21
13	Chievo	16	5	6	5	-9	21
14	Cagliari	17	5	2	10	-12	17
15	Sassuolo	16	4	2	10	-18	14
16	Genoa	16	3	4	9	-8	13
17	Verona	17	3	4	10	-15	13
18	Crotone	16	3	3	10	-20	12
19	Spal	16	2	5	9	-13	11
20	Benevento	16	0	1	15	-30	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	7	1	1	+17	22
2	Inter	9	7	1	1	+13	22
3	Roma	9	7	0	2	+8	21
4	Sampdoria	7	6	0	1	+13	18
5	Napoli	8	5	2	1	+13	17
6	Atalanta	8	5	2	1	+9	17
7	Milan	8	4	2	2	+1	14
8	Fiorentina	7	4	1	2	+5	13
9	Udinese	9	4	0	5	+0	12
10	Chievo	8	3	3	2	-1	12
11	Lazio	7	3	2	2	+6	11
12	Torino	8	2	4	2	+1	10
13	Cagliari	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Bologna	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Spal	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Crotone	8	2	2	4	-6	8
17	Verona	9	2	1	6	-9	7
18	Sassuolo	8	1	2	5	-7	5
19	Genoa	8	0	2	6	-8	2
20	Benevento	8	0	1	7	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	8	1	0	+14	25
2	Lazio	8	7	0	1	+11	21
3	Inter	8	5	3	0	+8	18
4	Roma	7	5	2	0	+10	17
5	Juventus	7	5	1	1	+10	16
6	Torino	9	3	4	2	-3	13
7	Bologna	8	4	0	4	+0	12
8	Genoa	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Milan	9	3	1	5	-2	10
10	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	+2	9
11	Udinese	7	3	0	4	+1	9
12	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Chievo	8	2	3	3	-8	9
14	Sassuolo	8	3	0	5	-11	9
15	Cagliari	9	2	1	6	-9	7
16	Verona	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	Atalanta	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Crotone	8	1	1	6	-14	4
19	Spal	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Benevento	8	0	0	8	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.