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La Liga
Referee: Daniel Ocon Arraiz
Espanol
S T U T S
0–1
Full-time
Valencia
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 36%
39%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
47%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
69%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 9. · Valencia 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 26 6 4 +74 84
2 Real Madrid 35 26 6 3 +57 84
3 Ath Madrid 36 22 8 6 +41 74
4 Sevilla 36 20 9 7 +18 69
5 Villarreal 36 18 9 9 +21 63
6 Ath Bilbao 36 19 5 12 +12 62
7 Sociedad 36 19 5 12 +6 62
8 Eibar 36 15 9 12 +8 54
9 Espanol 36 14 11 11 -1 53
10 Alaves 36 13 12 11 -4 51
11 Malaga 36 12 9 15 -4 45
12 Celta 35 13 5 17 -11 44
13 Valencia 36 12 7 17 -8 43
14 Las Palmas 36 10 9 17 -15 39
15 Betis 36 10 7 19 -23 37
16 Leganes 36 8 9 19 -19 33
17 La Coruna 36 7 11 18 -21 32
18 Sp Gijon 36 6 9 21 -31 27
19 Granada 36 4 8 24 -50 20
20 Osasuna 36 3 10 23 -50 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Valencia
34′
🟨 Nani
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Aderllan Santos
↦ E. Garay
59′
🟨 Fabián Orellana
67′
🔁 Carlos Soler
↦ F. Orellana
Marc Roca 🔁
↦ Marc Navarro
68′
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ H. Pérez
72′
75′
José Gayá 0–1
Dani Parejo
81′
🟨 Álvaro Medrán
85′
🟨 Martín Montoya
Óscar Melendo 🔁
↦ José Jurado
86′
86′
🔁 Munir
↦ Rodrigo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
23 D. Reyes D
12 Aarón Martín D
31 Marc Navarro D
14 José Jurado M
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
15 David López D
17 H. Pérez M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
28 Marc Roca
10 F. Caicedo
30 Óscar Melendo
3 Rubén Duarte
5 Víctor Álvarez
22 Álvaro Vázquez
26 Andrés Prieto

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Valencia

4-2-3-1
13 Jaume Doménech G
24 E. Garay D
5 E. Mangala D
21 Martín Montoya D
14 José Gayá D
17 Nani M
15 F. Orellana M
10 Dani Parejo M
20 Álvaro Medrán M
12 S. Zaza F
19 Rodrigo F
Bench (7)
4 Aderllan Santos
18 Carlos Soler
9 Munir
1 Diego Alves
8 E. Pérez
22 Santi Mina
26 Toni Lato

Coach: Voro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Ocon Arraiz · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.