La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Espanol
Valencia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
36 | 26 | 6 | 4 | +74 | 84 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
35 | 26 | 6 | 3 | +57 | 84 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | +41 | 74 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | +21 | 63 |
| 6 |
Ath Bilbao
|
36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | +12 | 62 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | +6 | 62 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | +8 | 54 |
| 9 |
Espanol
|
36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | -1 | 53 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | -4 | 51 |
| 11 |
Malaga
|
36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 |
Celta
|
35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | -11 | 44 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | -8 | 43 |
| 14 |
Las Palmas
|
36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | -15 | 39 |
| 15 |
Betis
|
36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | -23 | 37 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 33 |
| 17 |
La Coruna
|
36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 |
Sp Gijon
|
36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -31 | 27 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | -50 | 20 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
36 | 3 | 10 | 23 | -50 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Aarón Martín
D
David López
D
Gerard Moreno
F
Léo Baptistão
F
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
José Gayá
D
Coach: Voro
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
La Coruna
Espanol
Espanol
Barcelona
Sp Gijon
Espanol
Espanol
Ath Madrid
Leganes
Espanol
Daniel Ocon Arraiz · 17 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.