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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Valencia
U T S S S
0–0
Full-time
Sevilla
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 47%
35%
58%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
71%
61%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
65%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 12. · Sevilla 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 31 23 6 2 +49 75
2 Barcelona 32 22 6 4 +61 72
3 Ath Madrid 32 19 8 5 +35 65
4 Sevilla 31 18 7 6 +17 61
5 Villarreal 31 15 9 7 +21 54
6 Ath Bilbao 32 16 5 11 +8 53
7 Sociedad 32 16 4 12 +3 52
8 Eibar 31 14 8 9 +10 50
9 Espanol 32 13 10 9 +2 49
10 Celta 30 12 5 13 -6 41
11 Alaves 31 10 10 11 -9 40
12 Valencia 31 11 6 14 -7 39
13 Las Palmas 32 10 8 14 -6 38
14 Malaga 32 8 9 15 -13 33
15 La Coruna 32 7 10 15 -15 31
16 Betis 31 8 7 16 -18 31
17 Leganes 32 6 9 17 -23 27
18 Sp Gijon 32 5 7 20 -30 22
19 Granada 31 4 8 19 -38 20
20 Osasuna 32 3 8 21 -41 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Sevilla
15′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ Vitolo
Antonio Lato 🟨
22′
Enzo Pérez 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
Carlos Soler 🟨
50′
65′
🟨 Stevan Jovetić
70′
🟨 Vicente Iborra
João Cancelo 🔁
↦ Munir
73′
Nani 🔁
↦ F. Orellana
80′
82′
🔁 W. Montoya
↦ F. Vázquez
Santi Mina 🔁
↦ Dani Parejo
87′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Valencia

4-2-3-1
1 Diego Alves G
24 E. Garay D
5 E. Mangala D
21 Martín Montoya D
26 Toni Lato D
8 E. Pérez M
15 F. Orellana M
10 Dani Parejo M
18 Carlos Soler M
12 S. Zaza F
9 Munir F
Bench (7)
2 João Cancelo
17 Nani
22 Santi Mina
4 Aderllan Santos
20 Álvaro Medrán
6 Guilherme Siqueira
13 Jaume Doménech

Coach: Voro

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Rico G
21 N. Pareja
3 Mariano D
18 Sergio Escudero D
5 C. Lenglet D
8 Iborra M
15 S. N'Zonzi M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
20 Vitolo M
11 J. Correa M
22 F. Vázquez M
Bench (7)
16 S. Jovetić
14 W. Montoya
6 Daniel Carriço
13 David Soria
24 G. Mercado
12 W. Ben Yedder
9 L. Vietto

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.