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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Sp Gijon

U T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

2,2

0,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 47%

21%

72%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

52%

34%

Both score Ø 40%

52%

28%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 19. · Ath Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	29	24	3	2	+62	75
2	Ath Madrid	29	21	4	4	+33	67
3	Real Madrid	29	19	6	4	+55	63
4	Villarreal	29	15	8	6	+12	53
5	Sevilla	29	13	9	7	+12	48
6	Ath Bilbao	29	14	5	10	+10	47
7	Celta	29	13	6	10	-10	45
8	Eibar	30	10	8	12	+0	38
9	Malaga	29	9	9	11	+0	36
10	Sociedad	29	9	8	12	-3	35
11	Valencia	29	8	10	11	-1	34
12	Betis	29	8	10	11	-12	34
13	La Coruna	29	6	15	8	-5	33
14	Espanol	29	9	5	15	-26	32
15	Las Palmas	29	8	6	15	-11	30
16	Getafe	30	7	7	16	-24	28
17	Vallecano	29	6	9	14	-22	27
18	Granada	29	7	6	16	-24	27
19	Sp Gijon	29	6	6	17	-21	24
20	Levante	29	6	6	17	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	14	1	0	+44	43
2	Sevilla	15	13	0	2	+19	39
3	Real Madrid	15	12	1	2	+42	37
4	Villarreal	15	11	2	2	+14	35
5	Ath Madrid	14	10	3	1	+15	33
6	Ath Bilbao	14	8	3	3	+15	27
7	Celta	15	7	4	4	+2	25
8	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+4	24
9	Getafe	16	6	5	5	+7	23
10	Malaga	14	6	4	4	+7	22
11	Espanol	14	6	4	4	-8	22
12	Las Palmas	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Sociedad	14	5	5	4	+3	20
14	Valencia	14	4	7	3	+2	19
15	Vallecano	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Levante	15	5	3	7	-5	18
17	La Coruna	14	3	8	3	+4	17
18	Betis	14	3	6	5	-6	15
19	Granada	14	4	3	7	-7	15
20	Sp Gijon	14	3	4	7	-5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Barcelona	14	10	2	2	+18	32
3	Real Madrid	14	7	5	2	+13	26
4	Ath Bilbao	15	6	2	7	-5	20
5	Celta	14	6	2	6	-12	20
6	Betis	15	5	4	6	-6	19
7	Villarreal	14	4	6	4	-2	18
8	La Coruna	15	3	7	5	-9	16
9	Valencia	15	4	3	8	-3	15
10	Sociedad	15	4	3	8	-6	15
11	Eibar	15	3	5	7	-4	14
12	Malaga	15	3	5	7	-7	14
13	Granada	15	3	3	9	-17	12
14	Sp Gijon	15	3	2	10	-16	11
15	Espanol	15	3	1	11	-18	10
16	Sevilla	14	0	9	5	-7	9
17	Las Palmas	14	2	3	9	-14	9
18	Vallecano	14	1	5	8	-18	8
19	Levante	14	1	3	10	-20	6
20	Getafe	14	1	2	11	-31	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.