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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Millot

Lyon

S T S S U

2–0

Full-time

Nantes

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,7

Scored

2,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 40%

43%

37%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

53%

33%

Both score Ø 40%

43%

37%

Average goals

2,7

1,9

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

8 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 6

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 5. · Nantes 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	30	24	5	1	+62	77
2	Monaco	30	13	13	4	+10	52
3	Rennes	31	12	12	7	+9	48
4	Nice	30	13	8	9	+10	47
5	Lyon	30	13	7	10	+14	46
6	Caen	31	14	4	13	-6	46
7	St Etienne	31	13	6	12	+2	45
8	Nantes	30	11	11	8	+1	44
9	Lille	31	10	13	8	+2	43
10	Angers	31	11	9	11	+2	42
11	Marseille	31	8	15	8	+6	39
12	Bastia	30	11	6	13	-3	39
13	Lorient	31	9	12	10	-5	39
14	Guingamp	31	10	8	13	-8	38
15	Bordeaux	30	9	11	10	-10	38
16	Montpellier	31	10	6	15	-2	36
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	30	7	12	11	-9	33
18	Reims	31	8	9	14	-10	33
19	Toulouse	31	5	11	15	-17	26
20	Troyes	31	2	8	21	-48	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	3	0	+32	36
2	Lyon	15	9	3	3	+18	30
3	Bastia	16	9	2	5	+8	29
4	Lille	16	8	4	4	+7	28
5	Monaco	15	7	6	2	+8	27
6	St Etienne	15	8	3	4	+8	27
7	Nice	15	8	2	5	+6	26
8	Bordeaux	15	7	5	3	+6	26
9	Nantes	15	7	5	3	+5	26
10	Caen	16	8	2	6	-4	26
11	Angers	16	6	7	3	+7	25
12	Lorient	15	6	6	3	+7	24
13	Guingamp	15	6	5	4	+6	23
14	Rennes	15	5	6	4	+2	21
15	Montpellier	16	7	0	9	+0	21
16	Reims	16	5	5	6	+2	20
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	15	4	7	4	-2	19
18	Toulouse	15	3	7	5	+2	16
19	Marseille	16	2	9	5	+2	15
20	Troyes	15	0	6	9	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	13	2	1	+30	41
2	Rennes	16	7	6	3	+7	27
3	Monaco	15	6	7	2	+2	25
4	Marseille	15	6	6	3	+4	24
5	Nice	15	5	6	4	+4	21
6	Caen	15	6	2	7	-2	20
7	Nantes	15	4	6	5	-4	18
8	St Etienne	16	5	3	8	-6	18
9	Angers	15	5	2	8	-5	17
10	Lyon	15	4	4	7	-4	16
11	Montpellier	15	3	6	6	-2	15
12	Lille	15	2	9	4	-5	15
13	Lorient	16	3	6	7	-12	15
14	Guingamp	16	4	3	9	-14	15
15	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	15	3	5	7	-7	14
16	Reims	15	3	4	8	-12	13
17	Bordeaux	15	2	6	7	-16	12
18	Bastia	14	2	4	8	-11	10
19	Toulouse	16	2	4	10	-19	10
20	Troyes	16	2	2	12	-27	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.