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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Martens

Zwolle

S S S U T

0–3

Full-time

De Graafschap

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle De Graafschap

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 28%

32%

23%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

64%

Both score Ø 41%

45%

36%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Zwolle 13. · De Graafschap 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	22	18	3	1	+58	57
2	Ajax	22	17	2	3	+58	53
3	Feyenoord	22	13	3	6	+19	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	22	12	4	6	+20	40
5	Heracles	22	11	2	9	+1	35
6	Utrecht	21	8	6	7	+2	30
7	VVV Venlo	23	8	5	10	-11	29
8	Vitesse	19	7	6	6	+2	27
9	Den Haag	22	7	6	9	-11	27
10	For Sittard	22	7	5	10	-12	26
11	Excelsior	23	7	5	11	-22	26
12	Willem II	22	7	4	11	-8	25
13	Zwolle	22	7	4	11	-9	25
14	Groningen	20	7	3	10	-2	24
15	Heerenveen	22	5	9	8	-5	24
16	FC Emmen	22	6	6	10	-21	24
17	De Graafschap	22	5	3	14	-29	18
18	NAC Breda	22	4	4	14	-30	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+40	33
2	Feyenoord	11	10	0	1	+21	30
3	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+41	29
4	Heracles	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	3	2	+15	21
6	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+8	18
7	For Sittard	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	Vitesse	9	5	3	1	+4	18
10	Excelsior	12	5	3	4	-6	18
11	De Graafschap	12	5	1	6	+0	16
12	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	-5	15
13	NAC Breda	11	4	2	5	-4	14
14	Groningen	10	4	1	5	+3	13
15	Zwolle	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	FC Emmen	11	2	4	5	-7	10
17	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Heerenveen	11	1	5	5	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+18	24
2	Ajax	11	8	0	3	+17	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	1	4	+5	19
4	Willem II	12	5	2	5	-3	17
5	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+4	16
6	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-5	14
7	FC Emmen	11	4	2	5	-14	14
8	Feyenoord	11	3	3	5	-2	12
9	Den Haag	11	3	3	5	-6	12
10	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-6	12
11	Groningen	10	3	2	5	-5	11
12	Heracles	11	3	2	6	-12	11
13	VVV Venlo	12	3	2	7	-17	11
14	Vitesse	10	2	3	5	-2	9
15	Excelsior	11	2	2	7	-16	8
16	For Sittard	11	2	2	7	-18	8
17	NAC Breda	11	0	2	9	-26	2
18	De Graafschap	10	0	2	8	-29	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.