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Bundesliga
Referee: Manuel Gräfe
Hamburg
S T S U U
1–2
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 44%
27%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%
21 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 26
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 15. · Ein Frankfurt 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 11 2 2 +24 35
2 RB Leipzig 16 8 4 4 +3 28
3 Schalke 04 15 7 5 3 +6 26
4 M'gladbach 15 7 4 4 -2 25
5 Leverkusen 15 6 6 3 +10 24
6 Hoffenheim 15 6 5 4 +5 23
7 Augsburg 15 6 5 4 +5 23
8 Dortmund 15 6 4 5 +12 22
9 Ein Frankfurt 15 6 4 5 +1 22
10 Hannover 15 6 4 5 +0 22
11 Wolfsburg 16 3 10 3 +1 19
12 Hertha 15 4 6 5 -2 18
13 Stuttgart 15 5 2 8 -6 17
14 Mainz 15 4 4 7 -7 16
15 Hamburg 15 4 3 8 -7 15
16 Freiburg 15 3 6 6 -15 15
17 Werder Bremen 15 3 5 7 -6 14
18 FC Koln 15 0 3 12 -22 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Ein Frankfurt
8′
🔁 C. Salcedo
↦ D. Abraham
1–0 K. Papadopoulos
A. Hunt
9′
16′
M. Wolf 1–1
T. Chandler
24′
M. Gaćinović 1–2
T. Chandler
A. Ekdal 🔁
↦ Walace
36′
42′
🟨 Simon Falette
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 A. Barkok
↦ M. Gaćinović
62′
🔁 K. Boateng
↦ L. Jović
T. Ito 🔁
↦ L. Waldschmidt
67′
75′
🟨 Kevin-Prince Boateng
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ M. Mavraj
83′
89′
🟨 Lukáš Hrádecký
90′
🟨 Marius Wolf
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 C. Mathenia G
5 M. Mavraj D
9 K. Papadopoulos D
2 D. Diekmeier D
6 Douglas Santos D
28 G. Jung M
14 A. Hunt M
17 F. Kostić M
12 Walace M
15 L. Waldschmidt F
40 J. Arp F
Bench (7)
20 A. Ekdal
43 T. Ito
19 S. Schipplock
4 R. van Drongelen
11 A. Hahn
13 J. Pollersbeck
24 G. Sakai

Coach: M. Gisdol

Ein Frankfurt

3-1-4-2
1 L. Hradecky G
23 M. Russ D
19 D. Abraham D
22 T. Chandler M
33 T. Tawatha D
3 S. Falette D
5 G. Fernandes M
11 M. Gaćinović M
27 M. Wolf M
4 A. Rebić F
8 L. Jović F
Bench (7)
13 C. Salcedo
28 A. Barkok
17 K. Boateng
9 S. Haller
21 M. Stendera
31 B. Hrgota
37 J. Zimmermann

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Gräfe · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.