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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Dortmund
S T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Augsburg
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,0
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
47%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
3,5
1,9
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%
23 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 5. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 11 3 1 +26 36
2 RB Leipzig 15 11 3 1 +19 36
3 Hoffenheim 15 6 9 0 +11 27
4 Hertha 15 8 3 4 +6 27
5 Dortmund 15 7 5 3 +16 26
6 Ein Frankfurt 15 7 5 3 +7 26
7 FC Koln 15 6 6 3 +6 24
8 Mainz 15 6 2 7 -1 20
9 Leverkusen 15 6 2 7 -1 20
10 Freiburg 15 6 2 7 -7 20
11 Schalke 04 15 5 3 7 +2 18
12 Augsburg 15 4 5 6 -4 17
13 M'gladbach 15 4 4 7 -9 16
14 Werder Bremen 15 4 3 8 -14 15
15 Wolfsburg 15 3 4 8 -10 13
16 FC Ingolstadt 04 15 3 3 9 -12 12
17 Hamburg 15 2 4 9 -18 10
18 Darmstadt 15 2 2 11 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Augsburg
33′
Dong-Won Ji 0–1
Half-time 0–1
S. Bender 🔁
↦ Bartra
46′
1–1 O. Dembélé
S. Kagawa
47′
52′
🟨 Daniel Baier
65′
🟨 Konstantinos Stafylidis
Shinji Kagawa 🟨
69′
G. Castro 🔁
↦ S. Kagawa
71′
73′
🔁 M. Feulner
↦ J. Morávek
78′
🔁 G. Kačar
↦ D. Kohr
A. Schürrle 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
81′
90′
🔁 Halil Altıntop
↦ Dong-Won Ji
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dortmund

3-4-3
1 R. Weidenfeller G
29 M. Schmelzer D
5 Bartra D
28 M. Ginter D
23 S. Kagawa M
10 M. Götze M
33 J. Weigl M
7 O. Dembélé F
24 Mikel Merino M
22 C. Pulisic M
17 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (7)
6 S. Bender
27 G. Castro
21 A. Schürrle
9 E. Mor
20 A. Ramos
30 F. Passlack
39 H. Bonmann

Coach: T. Tuchel

Augsburg

4-1-4-1
35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
36 M. Hinteregger D
3 K. Stafylidis D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
10 D. Baier M
14 J. Morávek M
28 G. Teigl D
11 J. Schmid M
21 D. Kohr M
22 Dong-Won Ji M
Bench (7)
8 M. Feulner
20 G. Kačar
7 Halil Altıntop
1 A. Luthe
16 C. Janker
33 J. Schmidt
39 T. Usami

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.