Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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M'gladbach
Wolfsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +26 | 36 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 36 |
| 3 |
Hoffenheim
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | +11 | 27 |
| 4 |
Hertha
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 27 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +16 | 26 |
| 6 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 26 |
| 7 |
FC Koln
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 |
Mainz
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 |
Leverkusen
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 |
Freiburg
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 |
Schalke 04
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 18 |
| 12 |
Augsburg
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 |
M'gladbach
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 |
Wolfsburg
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |
Hamburg
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 10 |
| 18 |
Darmstadt
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -17 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Augsburg
M'gladbach
M'gladbach
Mainz
Dortmund
M'gladbach
M'gladbach
Hoffenheim
M'gladbach
FC Koln
Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.