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Ligue 1
Referee: Ruddy Buquet
Nice
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Lyon
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nice 1. · Lyon 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 8 6 2 0 +9 20
2 Monaco 9 6 1 2 +11 19
3 Toulouse 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 Paris SG 8 5 1 2 +11 16
5 Lyon 8 4 1 3 +6 13
6 Bordeaux 8 4 1 3 +1 13
7 Rennes 8 4 1 3 -1 13
8 Metz 8 4 1 3 -6 13
9 St Etienne 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Guingamp 8 3 2 3 +1 11
11 Bastia 8 3 1 4 +0 10
12 Angers 8 3 1 4 -1 10
13 Caen 8 3 1 4 -7 10
14 Marseille 8 2 3 3 +0 9
15 Dijon 8 2 2 4 -2 8
16 Nantes 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Montpellier 8 1 4 3 -6 7
18 Lille 8 2 1 5 -6 7
19 Lorient 8 2 0 6 -8 6
20 Nancy 8 1 2 5 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Lyon
1–0 P. Baysse
M. Sarr
5′
21′
🟨 Jérémy Morel
Dalbert 🟨
25′
28′
🟥 Nabil Fekir
43′
🟨 Sergi Darder
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Ghezzal
↦ M. Yanga-Mbiwa
64′
🔁 A. Lacazette
↦ J. Ferri
Dante 🟨
71′
2–0 J. Seri
76′
80′
🟨 Jordy Gaspar
V. Koziello 🔁
↦ J. Seri
83′
83′
🔁 Rafael
↦ J. Gaspar
Mario Balotelli 🟨
85′
A. Plea 🔁
↦ M. Balotelli
87′
V. Eysseric 🔁
↦ Y. Belhanda
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Nice

3-5-1-1
30 Y. Cardinale G
4 P. Baysse D
31 Dante D
21 Ricardo Pereira D
29 Dalbert Henrique D
33 M. Sarr D
5 Y. Belhanda M
6 J. Seri M
18 R. Walter M
25 W. Cyprien M
9 M. Balotelli F
Bench (7)
26 V. Koziello
14 A. Plea
13 V. Eysseric
1 M. Hassen
2 A. Souquet
22 A. Donis
24 M. Bodmer

Coach: L. Favre

Lyon

3-5-1-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
15 J. Morel D
31 M. Rybus D
2 M. Yanga-Mbiwa D
4 E. Mammana D
23 J. Gaspar D
21 M. Gonalons M
12 J. Ferri M
14 Sergi Darder M
8 C. Tolisso M
18 N. Fekir M
Bench (7)
11 R. Ghezzal
10 A. Lacazette
20 Rafael
3 N. N'Koulou
26 A. Kalulu
29 L. Tousart
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ruddy Buquet · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.