Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Tottenham
Everton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
37 | 31 | 2 | 4 | +69 | 95 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | +65 | 94 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | +24 | 71 |
| 4 |
Tottenham
|
37 | 23 | 1 | 13 | +28 | 70 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | +20 | 67 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 66 |
| 7 |
Wolves
|
37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | +3 | 57 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | +8 | 53 |
| 9 |
Leicester
|
37 | 15 | 6 | 16 | +3 | 51 |
| 10 |
Watford
|
37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | -4 | 50 |
| 11 |
West Ham
|
37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 |
Crystal Palace
|
37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 |
Newcastle
|
37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 |
Burnley
|
37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | -21 | 40 |
| 16 |
Southampton
|
37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | -20 | 38 |
| 17 |
Brighton
|
37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -22 | 36 |
| 18 |
Cardiff
|
37 | 9 | 4 | 24 | -37 | 31 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
37 | 7 | 5 | 25 | -43 | 26 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -54 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Davies
D
K. Walker-Peters
D
E. Dier
D
Coach: M. Pochettino
J. Pickford
G
L. Digne
D
M. Keane
D
Y. Mina
D
Coach: Marco Silva
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Tottenham
West Ham
Tottenham
Brighton
Man City
Tottenham
Tottenham
Huddersfield
Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.