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Premier League
Referee: Robert Madley
West Brom
U T S U S
2–3
Full-time
Everton
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 14. · Everton 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Man City 7 5 0 2 +7 15
3 West Ham 7 4 1 2 +6 13
4 Arsenal 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Tottenham 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Crystal Palace 7 4 0 3 +2 12
7 Leicester 7 3 3 1 +1 12
8 Liverpool 7 3 2 2 -2 11
9 Everton 6 2 3 1 +3 9
10 Southampton 7 2 3 2 +1 9
11 Swansea 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Norwich 7 2 3 2 -1 9
13 Watford 7 2 3 2 -1 9
14 West Brom 6 2 2 2 -2 8
15 Chelsea 7 2 2 3 -3 8
16 Bournemouth 7 2 1 4 -2 7
17 Stoke 7 1 3 3 -3 6
18 Aston Villa 7 1 1 5 -4 4
19 Newcastle 7 0 3 4 -6 3
20 Sunderland 7 0 2 5 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Everton
J. Chester 🔁
↦ J. Olsson
28′
1–0 S. Berahino
J. Morrison
41′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 C. Dawson
C. Brunt
54′
55′
R. Lukaku 2–1
Deulofeu
64′
🟨 Steven Naismith
C. Gardner 🔁
↦ S. Rondón
69′
70′
🟨 James McCarthy
72′
🔁 D. Gibson
↦ T. Browning
72′
🔁 A. Koné
↦ S. Naismith
75′
A. Koné 2–2
R. Lukaku
76′
🟨 Arouna Koné
84′
R. Lukaku 2–3
Deulofeu
R. Lambert 🔁
↦ C. Yacob
85′
89′
🔁 A. Lennon
↦ R. Lukaku
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

West Brom

13 G. Myhill G
3 J. Olsson D
6 J. Evans D
25 C. Dawson D
7 J. Morrison M
24 D. Fletcher M
5 C. Yacob M
11 C. Brunt D
14 J. McClean F
33 S. Rondón F
18 S. Berahino F
Bench (7)
4 J. Chester
8 C. Gardner
17 R. Lambert
10 V. Anichebe
19 C. McManaman
21 A. Lindegaard
31 S. Gnabry

Everton

24 T. Howard G
6 P. Jagielka D
25 Ramiro Funes Mori D
32 B. Galloway D
27 T. Browning D
18 G. Barry M
16 J. McCarthy M
20 R. Barkley M
14 S. Naismith M
10 R. Lukaku F
19 Deulofeu M
Bench (7)
4 D. Gibson
9 A. Koné
12 A. Lennon
1 Joel Robles
7 A. McGeady
8 B. Oviedo
21 L. Osman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.