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Conference League
Referee: F Zwayer
Shakhtar Donetsk
U S T S U
1–3
Full-time
Crystal Palace
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
58%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,06 xG 2,31
71% Possession 29%
15 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 7
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
13 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Crystal Palace
1′
⚽ I. Sarr 0–1
J. Mateta
Oleg Ocheretko 🟨
31′
Vinícius Tobias 🟨
38′
44′
🟨 Yéremy Pino
Half-time 1–1
1–1 O. Ocheretko ⚽
Kaua Elias
47′
Pedro Henrique 🟨
52′
56′
🟨 Jaydee Canvot
58′
⚽ D. Kamada 1–2
M. Lacroix
Isaque Silva 🔁
↦ Marlon Gomes
65′
65′
🔁 J. S. Larsen
↦ J. Mateta
Newerton 🔁
↦ Eguinaldo
74′
A. Bondarenko 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
74′
74′
🔁 B. Johnson
↦ Y. Pino
L. Traore 🔁
↦ Kaua Elias
83′
Y. Nazaryna 🔁
↦ O. Ocheretko
83′
84′
⚽ J. S. Larsen 1–3
D. Kamada
90′
🔁 J. Lerma
↦ D. Kamada
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
17 V. Tobias D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 P. Henrique D
27 O. Ocheretko M
30 Alisson M
10 Pedrinho M
6 Marlon Gomes M
7 Eguinaldo M
19 Kaua Elias F
Bench (12)
48 D. Tvardovskyi
4 Marlon
2 L. Traore
68 P. Obah
11 Newerton
49 Luca Meirelles
14 Isaque Silva
29 Y. Nazaryna
21 A. Bondarenko
16 I. Azarovi
18 A. Ghram
37 Lucas Ferreira

Coach: Arda Turan

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Canvot D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
14 J. Mateta F
10 Y. Pino F
Bench (11)
44 W. Benitez
31 R. Matthews
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
24 B. Sosa
22 J. S. Larsen
11 B. Johnson
8 J. Lerma
55 J. Devenny
34 C. Riad
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.