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Conference League
Referee: J Manzano
Fiorentina
S U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Crystal Palace
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 58%
62%
54%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
77%
46%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,92 xG 1,34
67% Possession 33%
16 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -26 Crystal Palace – Fiorentina 3–0

Match report

Fiorentina Crystal Palace
17′
⚽ I. Sarr 0–1
D. Munoz
30′
🔁 J. Lerma
↦ A. Wharton
1–1 A. Gudmundsson ⚽
30′
Marin Pongračić 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Yéremy Pino
41′
🔁 C. Riad
↦ M. Lacroix
Half-time 1–1
C. Ndour 🔁
↦ N. Fagioli
46′
46′
🔁 J. S. Larsen
↦ J. Mateta
Pietro Comuzzo 🟨
50′
53′
🟨 Ismaïla Sarr
2–1 C. Ndour ⚽
M. Solomon
53′
Luca Ranieri 🟨
67′
E. Kouadio 🔁
↦ P. Comuzzo
70′
L. Balbo 🔁
↦ R. Gosens
70′
73′
🔁 W. Hughes
↦ Y. Pino
J. Fazzini 🔁
↦ M. Solomon
75′
G. Fabbian 🔁
↦ A. Gudmundsson
75′
76′
🟨 Chadi Riad
Cher Ndour 🟨
87′
Roberto Piccoli 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Manzano · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.