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Conference League
Referee: D Rumsas
Vallecano
S T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Strasbourg
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
75%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,29 xG 0,21
53% Possession 47%
24 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 1
15 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Vallecano Strasbourg
Dani Cárdenas 🟨
-5′
11′
🟨 Samir El Mourabet
Pathé Ismaël Ciss 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Emmanuel Emegha
1–0 Alemao ⚽
I. Palazon
54′
P. Diaz 🔁
↦ Alemao
64′
67′
🔁 S. Amo-Ameyaw
↦ M. Godo
Ilias Akhomach 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Ben Chilwell
Florian Lejeune 🟨
76′
78′
🟨 Diego Moreira
84′
🔁 S. Nanasi
↦ E. Emegha
S. Camello 🔁
↦ I. Palazon
88′
Pacha 🔁
↦ J. de Frutos
89′
G. Gumbau 🔁
↦ U. Lopez
94′
95′
🔁 M. Oyedele
↦ S. El Mourabet
97′
🟨 Maxi Oyedele
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
6 P. Ciss D
3 P. Chavarria D
17 U. Lopez M
23 O. Valentin M
19 J. de Frutos M
7 I. Palazon M
12 I. Akhomach M
9 Alemao F
Bench (9)
1 D. Cardenas
30 A. Molina
8 O. Trejo
15 G. Gumbau
22 Pacha
4 P. Diaz
32 N. Mendy
20 I. Balliu
10 S. Camello

Coach: Inigo Perez

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
39 M. Penders G
24 L. Hogsberg D
2 A. Omobamidele D
6 I. Doukoure D
3 B. Chilwell D
29 S. El Mourabet M
42 A. Ouattara M
7 D. Moreira M
19 J. Enciso M
20 M. Godo M
10 E. Emegha F
Bench (11)
1 K. Johnsson
60 G. Kerckaert
11 S. Nanasi
8 M. Oyedele
17 M. Amougou
80 G. Yassine
37 G. Kodia
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
83 R. Luis
43 Y. Becker
38 J. Bosey

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumsas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.